China Sneezes and American Equities Markets Get the Flu

SYNOPSIS

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Well, the business media are delighted once again to create “investment hysteria” about a flu virus. Too many investors unfortunately believe the media’s unsubstantiated claims that the flu will destroy the equities markets worldwide. Media hysteria creates fear, and fear brings eyeballs to the BizTV channels. And more eyeballs means more ad revenue for the networks. It also causes naive investors to start selling too soon. Do the media care about your profitability with your investments? Of course not. They only care about their own profits!

Last week… Recent regular weekly gains came to a halt last week. The media blame the Mexican Beer Virus, but a pause and pull-back is well overdue. The virus came along at a convenient time to “explain” the so-far smallish retreat.
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PTP… The benchmark APARs declined 10% and 19% respectfully. The PTP APAR dropped over 100 points to 236%, but you can see that we’re well above the market averages as usual.

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PTA Perspective… China Sneezes and American Equities Markets Get the Flu
As usual the BizMedia exaggerate all the negatives in the world and ignore all positive news. It’s the best way for them to keep eyeballs glued to their coverage and gain advertising revenue, which is based on those eyeballs. We’re not going to trivialize a new virus that is killing people, but think seriously about whether your utilities stocks or your shares of Shopify or Facebook or your favourite grocer are going to be crushed by coronavirus, before you get totally irrational. Since we really don’t know much now, we’ll walk you through a few worst case scenarios and remind you that the markets are overdue for a correction anyway in this week’s edition of TrendWatch Weekly.

Tracking a Thematic Sector: A Practical Guide

SYNOPSIS

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So true on several levels! The bird is right! With our ProfiTrend Portfolio we’re constantly taking small losses via our volatility-based sell signals; but our top three positions have gains of +107%, +93% and +35%, respectively. And the holding time for all of those is 7 weeks or less. Those are the ones that matter! And, finally, our APAR tracking score provides instant gratification when we dump losing positions by increasing in value. It turns fear of loss into a sense of deep satisfaction!

Last week… More gains last week and more new record highs on the major indexes. Not even Trump can stop the bulls; even though his Phase 1 China deal has nothing of any significance in it.
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PTP… The benchmark APARs moved up over the past week 7% and 16% respectively, but the PTP APAR surged from 121% to 362%… mostly on the back of the same biopharma companies that punished us the previous week.

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PTA Perspective… Tracking a Thematic Sector: A Practical Guide
We’ve been getting more requests for practical applications of the ProfiTrend Advantage and it’s relative trend analysis™ (RTA) underpinnings. So this week we offer a step-by-step guide to doing your own research on a thematic sector of your choosing. We’ve decided to use Renewable Energy & Clean Technology as our theme, just because that area is finally showing some good signs of outperforming other companies in other sectors.. After following our methodology, you can apply the same template to any other thematic sector you’d like to explore. All the details are in this edition of TrendWatch Weekly.

2019 – Q4 (Year End) Review – Global Perspective

SYNOPSIS

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Last week… The first full week of trading in 2020 provided some gains on a one-week basis… especially for Canadian stocks for a change.

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PTP… Changes in the benchmark APARs barely moved over the past week, but the PTP APAR retreated considerably, as strong trends in biopharma stocks started to top out. We perhaps held too many of them.

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PTA Perspective… 2019 – Q4 (Year End) Review – Global Perspective
This week we bring you the “global” version of our year-end 2019 review. As usual there are many countries that have outperformed North American equities, in spite of strong results for Canada and the US last year.