“Sell in May and Go Away” Redux

SYNOPSIS

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Bull/bear cloud gazing! Yes, the new highs keep coming, whenever Trump quits tweeting for a day or two. His latest threats of higher tariffs against China, however, could put an end to this. The Americans will likely suffer the most from this stupidity. They don’t want to buy inferior American goods, when they can get highly quality Chinese goods at a lower price. If those imports suddenly become 25% more expensive, that won’t go down well with Trump supporters.

Last week… The S&P 500 took the lead this past week, while the S&P/TSX Composite Index took a hit.

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PTP… Our PTP APAR score continued to climb over the past week. The S&P/TSX Composite Index APAR fell 20 points, while the S&P 500 APAR gained just a bit from 31% in our last report.
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We sold two positions last week, but added three more.

PTA Perspective… “Sell in May and Go Away” Redux
This topic comes up every year, and we continue to offer our perspective. At issue are years of data that show that investing in November through April is far more profitable than the other six consecutive months. If you invested only in May through October from 1950 onward, you would have essentially zero return on an original investment of $1000; but you’d have over $1 million if you invested only in November through April. We continue to unravel what’s right and wrong with this strategy of 6-in/6-out.

Cannabis Corner… The number of US cannabis companies listing of the CSE continues to grow. Also, there is a shift of interest from major growers to smaller niche players with important roles to play… retailers, flower-to-liquid extractors, drying equipment providers, health & wellness companies (outside of medicinal pot), and pharma companies creating proprietary drugs built upon a cannabinoid base.