A Little-Known Predictor for Equities: The Gold/Platinum Ratio

SYNOPSIS

Nasdaq bounced back 2.6% last week, as tech stocks regained some of the ground they lost in June and early July. In fact all of the indexes rose on a one-week basis, although Canadian stocks continue to trend lower.

PTP… Our ProfiTrend Portfolio APAR (annualized price appreciation rate) moved up a little further to 50% from 44% a week earlier. That’s still ahead of the S&P 500 APAR which rose to 22%, and the S&P/TSX Composite Index APAR which is still negative.

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Last Week in the Sectors… S&P 500 Financial Services, Information Technology, Health Care and Industrials are close to on par now as the sectors to watch for stock selection opportunities.

Featured Charts… A Little-Known Predictor for Equities: The Gold/Platinum Ratio
We all know that gold (aside from it’s jewelry use) is often treated as a currency. It’s often purchased as a hedge against inflation, and other forms of economic and geopolitical risk. When stock markets plunge, the price of gold rises and vice versa. Currently gold is struggling, while stocks are still hanging in there near record highs. But this relationship is not all that reliable; and Cornell University finance professor, Darien Huang, has research to support the notion that the gold/platinum ratio is a far better predictor of future stock market moves in both one and five year horizons. We have a closer look at that this week.