SYNOPSIS
The S&P 500 was hitting new highs again last week, while Canadian stocks were lower on a one-week basis. Trend-wise, the major US indexes are now showing a very distinct advantage.
ProfiTrend Portfolio… Our PTP annualized growth rate has increased to 82%, well ahead of the comparable stats for the S&P 500 (25%) and the S&P/TSX Composite Index (6%). We added one call option position to the PTP last week, but otherwise stayed on the sidelines.
Investor Confidence… The latest State Street Investor Confidence data are included for the month of May 2014. The “smart money” continues to ignore geopolitical issues… treating them as the media-created fantasies that they are. Institutional investors recognize that riskier equities are still a better place to be than bonds and other “risk-free” assets. This is actually most pronounced right now with European investments in equities rather than North American or Asian.
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Topic of the Week… Not All Averages are Created Equal!
When someone says that the average of a set of numbers is X, you should probably ask “What kind of average are you talking about?” We all grow up learning about an average that statisticians call the mean. That’s where you add up your list of numbers, then divide the total by the number of numbers you just added up. For most people that’s the only kind of average they know. In this week’s discussion, we want to introduce you to or remind you of other kinds of averages based on the same numbers. Some work better than others in specific situations. When money is lost or gained based on the calculations of averages, this is important.
Featured Video… Our featured video is actually three clips featuring behavioural economist, Dan Ariely. One sets up what behavioural economics (or behavioural finance) is all about, and the second one gets into “cheating on Wall St”, and why that happens. Finally, Ariely turns his attention to “cheating on spouses”. This may seem off topic, but Ariely explains how many similar principles apply. We also learn how Toronto-based AshleyMadison.com makes a small fortune with it’s web-based services for spousal infidelity.