2014 – First Half/Q2 Review

SYNOPSIS
On a one-week basis, we had excellent moves to the upside. Both Canada and the US had a 4-day trading week. The official holiday was July 1 in Canada (Canada Day) and July 4 in the US (Independence Day). Nasdaq continues to be the trend leader among the 6 major indexes that we report on weekly. Nasdaq stocks are climbing at about 1% per week right now.

ProfiTrend Portfolio… Our PTP annualized growth rate is now at 127%. That’s still well ahead of the comparable stats for the S&P 500 (30%) and the S&P/TSX Composite Index (27%).

State Street Investor Confidence Index… The latest results from this key measure of “smart money” confidence have just been released for the month of June. Institutional investors continue to pour billions into equities as they pull money out of “diskless” bonds. The current global index is at 119.5. 100 is considered the neutral point in the balance between risky (stocks) and diskless (bonds) asset holdings.
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Seasonality… We repeat our coverage of the expected calendar effects for July. We would normally have included the monthly videos from Brooke Thackray, our standby source on calendar effects, but he apparently took last Friday off. He normally posts his latest monthly clips on the first Friday of the month. We also check in on the Independence Day holiday trade, and whether you could have made some bonus profits this year.

Topic of the Week… 2014 – First Half/Q2 Review
This week’s topic is a review of the first half of 2014. We look at how the major indexes have fared, and dig in to the sectors with the best advances. Then we turn to current trends for both indexes and sectors. After all it’s too late to make profits from the past.

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